The Second-Order Election Model Revisited: An experimental test of vote choices in European Parliament elections
Title: The Second-Order Election Model Revisited: An experimental test of vote choices in European Parliament elections
Citation: Electoral Studies, 2011, 30, 1, 29-40, Special Symposium on Electoral Democracy in the European Union
Series/Number: [EUDO Public Opinion Observatory]
This paper examines the micro-foundations of the second-order elections model of European Parliament (EP) elections. We extend the existing literature in several ways. First, we propose an individual-level model of voting behaviour in second-order elections. Second, we present the first study using experimental methods to test the predictions of the second-order model, allowing us to test the individual-level propositions about vote choice in a controlled environment. Importantly, we also examine the conditioning effect of information on the ‘second-order’ nature of voting behaviour in EP elections. Our findings show that while voters base their EP vote choices primarily on domestic preferences, those who are given additional information about the European integration dimension are also more likely to vote on this basis.
Table of Contents:
1. Introduction 2. Second-order national elections 3. A model of vote choice in second-order elections 4. The experiment 5. Data and methods 6. Results 7. Conclusion Acknowledgements Appendix. Supplementary data References
Publication based on research carried out in the framework of the European Union Democracy Observatory (EUDO) of the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute.; The journal issue has been produced in the framework of the PIREDEU Project, one of the projects carried out by the EUDO Public Opinion Observatory.
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