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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item:
http://hdl.handle.net/1814/8893
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| Title: | Party mergers and vote shifts in Italy |
| Authors: | HANRETTY, Chris |
| Keywords: | voting behaviour
ecological inference
Italy
party mergers |
| Issue Date: | 2008 |
| Publisher: | European University Institute |
| Series/Report no.: | EUI SPS
2008/06 |
| Abstract: | Using data from exit polls and two different methods of ecological inference, I
demonstrate how Italian voters shifted between 2006 and 2008. Newly merged parties
(PdL, PD) were successful in retaining their former voters; parties which looked as if
they would be penalized by the electoral system (Sinistra Arcobaleno, UDC) were
deserted by voters. The relative success of the Lega Nord and Italia dei Valori results
from strong performance in retaining their own voters and marginal transfers of votes
from their coalition partners. |
| URI: | http://hdl.handle.net/1814/8893 |
| ISSN: | 1725-6755 |
| Appears in Collections: | SPS Working Papers
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