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dc.contributor.authorFLEMING, Colin M.
dc.date.accessioned2010-07-08T14:05:58Z
dc.date.available2010-07-08T14:05:58Z
dc.date.issued2010
dc.identifier.issn1830-7728
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1814/14279
dc.description.abstractIn the opening chapter of Carl Von Clausewitz’s On War (1831), he explains to readers that ‘only one more element is needed to make war a gamble 'chance'. No other human activity is so continuously or universally bound up with chance.’ He continues: ‘And through the element chance, guesswork and luck come to play a great part in war’. Yet, how should the reader of On War interpret Clausewitz’s inclusion of chance into his general theory? Why is war so ‘universally’ bound to the pervasive tendencies of chance? In fact, what does Clausewitz actually mean by ‘chance’? Why is it important at all? To answer these questions, this paper explores Clausewitz’s comprehension of chance within his wider ideas regarding the nature of war. Locating the manifestation of chance as a natural part of war fueled by its own reciprocity the article grounds Clausewitz’s idea to the experience of real conflict - the wars of former Yugoslavia 1991-1995.en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.language.isoenen
dc.relation.ispartofseriesEUI MWPen
dc.relation.ispartofseries2010/18en
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
dc.subjectClausewitzen
dc.subjecton waren
dc.subject‘chance’ and the problem with probabilitiesen
dc.subjectLessons from the Balkan warsen
dc.titleUnderstanding ‘Chance and Uncertainty’ in Clausewitz’s On War: Reflections on the Balkan Wars (1991-1995)en
dc.typeWorking Paperen
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