Title:Cointegration in Panel Data with Breaks and Cross-Section Dependence
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; CARRION-I-SILVESTRE, Josep LluisDate:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The power of standard panel cointegration statistics may be affected by misspecification errors if
proper account is not taken of the presence of structural breaks in the data. We propose modifications
to allow for one ...
Title:Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs
Author(s):CARRIERO, Andrea; CLARK, Todd E.; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The estimation of large Vector Autoregressions with stochastic volatility using standard methods is computationally very demanding. In this paper we propose to model conditional volatilities as driven by a single common ...
Title:Common Factors in Nonstationary Panel Data with a Deterministic Trend – Estimation and Distribution Theory
Author(s):MACIEJOWSKA, KatarzynaDate:2010Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The paper studies large-dimension factor models with nonstationary factors and allows for deterministic trends and factors integrated of order higher then one. We follow the model specification of Bai (2004) and derive the ...
Title:Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs
Author(s):MUSSO, Alberto; PHILLIPS, S.Date:2002Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Program numbers from a sample of IMF-supported programs are studied as if they were forecasts, through statistical analyses of the relationship between projections and outcomes for growth, inflation, and three balance of ...
Title:A Comparison of Estimation Methods for Vector Autoregressive Moving-Average Models
Author(s):KASCHA, ChristianDate:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:Classical Gaussian maximum likelihood estimation of mixed vector autoregressive moving-average models is plagued with various numerical problems and has been considered difficult by many applied researchers. These disadvantages ...
Title:A Comparison of Mixed Frequency Approaches for Modelling Euro Area Macroeconomic Variables
Author(s):FORONI, Claudia; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:Forecast models that take into account unbalanced datasets have recently attracted substantial attention. In this paper, we focus on different methods pro- posed so far in the literature to deal with mixed-frequency and ...
Title:Comparison of Tests for the Cointegrating Rank of a VAR Process with a Structural Shift
Author(s):LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; SAIKKONEN, Pentti; TRENKLER, CarstenDate:2003Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Two different types of tests for the cointegrating rank of vector autoregressive processes with a deterministic shift in the level have been proposed in the literature. The first proposal is based on the likelihood ratio ...
Title:Comparison of Unit Root Tests for Time Series with Level Shifts
Author(s):LANNE, Markku; LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; SAIKKONEN, PenttiDate:2002Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Unit root tests are considered for time series which have a level shift at a known point in time. The shift can have a very general nonlinear form, and additional deterministic mean and trend terms are allowed for. Prior ...