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Browsing Department of Economics (ECO) by Author "BRUEGGEMANN, Ralf"
Now showing items 1-13 of 13
Title:Forecasting Contemporaneous Aggregates with Stochastic Aggregation Weights
Author(s):BRUEGGEMANN, Ralf; LUETKEPOHL, HelmutDate:2011Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:Many contemporaneously aggregated variables have stochasticaggregation weights. We compare different forecasts for such variables including univariate forecasts of the aggregate, a multivariate forecast of the aggregate ...
Title:A Small Monetary System for the Euro Area Based on German Data
Author(s):BRUEGGEMANN, Ralf; LUETKEPOHL, HelmutDate:2006Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Previous euro area money demand studies have used aggregated national time series data from the countries participating in the European Monetary Union (EMU). However, aggregation may be problematic because macroeconomic ...
Title:Residual Autocorrelation Testing for Vector Error Correction Models
Author(s):BRUEGGEMANN, Ralf; LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; SAIKKONEN, PenttiDate:2006Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:In applied time series analysis, checking for autocorrelation in a fitted model is a routine diagnostic tool. Therefore it is useful to know the asymptotic and small sample properties of the standard tests for the case ...
Title:Forecasting Euro-Area Variables with German Pre-EMU Data
Author(s):BRUEGGEMANN, Ralf; LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:It is investigated whether Euro-area variables can be forecast better based on synthetic
time series for the pre-Euro period or by using just data from Germany for the pre-Euro period.
Our forecast comparison is based ...