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Browsing Department of Economics (ECO) by Author "MUSSO, Alberto"
Now showing items 1-6 of 6
Title:The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the Euro Area Output Gap
Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; MUSSO, AlbertoDate:2011Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:This paper provides evidence on the reliability of euro area real-time output gap estimates. A genuine real-time data set for the euro area is used, including vintages of several sets of euro area output gap estimates ...
Title:The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap
Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; MUSSO, AlbertoDate:2010Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper provides real time evidence on the usefulness of the euro area output gap as a leading indicator for inflation and growth. A genuine real-time data set for the euro area is used, including vintages of several ...
Title:The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap
Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; MUSSO, AlbertoDate:2010Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper provides evidence on the reliability of euro area real-time output gap estimates, including those provided by the IMF, OECD and EC and a set of model based measures. A genuine real-time data set is used, including ...
Title:Comparing Projections and Outcomes of IMF-Supported Programs
Author(s):MUSSO, Alberto; PHILLIPS, S.Date:2002Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Program numbers from a sample of IMF-supported programs are studied as if they were forecasts, through statistical analyses of the relationship between projections and outcomes for growth, inflation, and three balance of ...