Browsing Department of Economics (ECO) by Subject "vector error correction model"

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Title: Generalized Least Squares Estimation for Cointegration Parameters Under Conditional Heteroskedasticity Author(s): HERWARTZ, Helmut; LUETKEPOHL, Helmut Date: 2009 Type of Publication: Working Paper Series/Report no.: EUI ECO Abstract: In the presence of generalized conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) in the residuals of a vector error correction model (VECM), maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of the cointegration parameters has been shown to be ...
Title: Testing for the Cointegrating Rank of a Vector Autoregressive Process with Uncertain Deterministic Trend Term Author(s): DEMETRESCU, Matei; LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; SAIKKONEN, Pentti Date: 2008 Type of Publication: Working Paper Series/Report no.: EUI ECO Abstract: When applying Johansen's procedure for determining the coin- tegrating rank to systems of variables with linear deterministic trends, there are two possible tests to choose from. One test allows for a trend in ...
Title: Stock Prices and Economic Fluctuations: A Markov Switching Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis Author(s): LANNE, Markku; LUETKEPOHL, Helmut Date: 2008 Type of Publication: Working Paper Series/Report no.: EUI ECO Abstract: The role of expectations for economic fluctuations has received considerable attention in recent business cycle analysis. We exploit Markov regime switching models to identify shocks in cointegrated structural vector ...

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