Title:Predicting stock returns and volatility using consumption-aggregate wealth ratios : a nonlinear approach Author(s):BEKIROS, Stelios D.; GUPTA, RanganDate:2015Citation:
- Economics letters, 2015, Vol. 131, pp. 83-85
Type:ArticleAbstract:Recent empirical evidence based on a linear framework tends to suggest that a Markov-switching version of the consumption-aggregate wealth ratio (View the MathML source), developed to account for structural breaks, is a ...
Title:A non-linear approach for predicting stock returns and volatility with the use of investor sentiment indices Author(s):BEKIROS, Stelios D.; GUPTA, Rangan; KYEI, ClementDate:2016Citation:
- Applied economics, 2016, Vol. 48, No. 31, pp. 2895-2898
Type:ArticleAbstract:The popular sentiment-based investor index SBW introduced by Baker and Wurgler (2006, 2007) is shown to have no predictive ability for stock returns. However, Huang et al. (2015) developed a new investor sentiment index, ...
Title:Incorporating economic policy uncertainty in US equity premium models : a nonlinear predictability analysis Author(s):BEKIROS, Stelios D.; GUPTA, Rangan; MAJUMDAR, AnandamayeeDate:2016Citation:
- Finance research letters, 2016, Vol. 18, pp. 291-296
Type:ArticleAbstract:Information on economic policy uncertainty does matter in predicting the US equity premium, especially when accounting for structural instabilities and omitted nonlinearities in their relationship, via a quantile predictive ...