Title:Markets and Contracts
Author(s):BISIN, Alberto; GEANAKOPOLS, John; GOTTARDI, Piero; MINELLI, Enrico; POLEMARCHAKIS, HeraklesDate:2011Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Economies with asymmetric information are encompassed by an extension of the model of general competitive equilibrium that does not require an explicit modeling of private information. Sellers have discretion over deliveries ...
Title:Markov Switching Causality and the Money-Output Relationship
Author(s):RAVN, Morten O.; PSARADAKIS, Zacharias; SOLA, MartinDate:2005Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:The causal link between monetary variables and output is one of the most studied issues in macroeconomics. One puzzle from this literature is that the results of causality tests appear to be sensitive with respect to the ...
Title:Mergers and national champions
Author(s):MOTTA, Massimo; RUTA, MicheleDate:2008Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:The suspicion that national governments were in various forms promoting or defending domestic national champions (or discouraging foreign ones) arose in a long list of recent merger cases. This paper provides an analysis ...
Title:MIDAS vs. Mixed-Frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area
Author(s):KUZIN, Vladimir; MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; SCHUMACHER, ChristianDate:2011Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-VAR) approaches to model specification in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g. monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious ...
Title:The mixed blessing of IMF intervention: Signalling versus liquidity support
Author(s):ZWART, SanneDate:2007Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:Although IMF support is supposed to benefit a country, it might be bad news that the IMF believes intervention is necessary. This paper analyzes a bank run model in which both the liquidity effect and the signalling effect ...
Title:Modeling and Forecasting Exchange-Rates With a Bayesian Time-Varying Coefficient Model
Author(s):CANOVA, FabioDate:1993Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:This paper employs a multivariate Bayesian time-varying coefficients (TVC) approach to model and forecast exchange rate data. It is shown that, if used as a data-generating mechanism, a TVC model induces nonlinearities in ...
Title:Modeling and Forecasting Stock Return Volatility Using a Random Level Shift Model
Author(s):LU, Yang K.; PERRON, PierreDate:2010Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:We consider the estimation of a random level shift model for which the series of interest is the sum of a short-memory process and a jump or level shift component. For the latter component, we specify the commonly used ...
Title:Modelling of Cointegration in the Vector Autoregressive Model
Author(s):JOHANSEN, SorenDate:2000Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:A survey is given of some results obtained for the cointegrated VAR. The Granger representation theorem is discussed and the notions of cointegration and common trends are defined. The statistical model for cointegrated ...
Title:Modelling Shifts in the Wage-Price and Unemployment-Inflation Relationships in Italy, Poland and the Uk
Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; MIZON, Grayham E.Date:2000Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:The relationship between wages, prices, productivity, inflation and unemployment in Italy, Poland, and the UK between the 1960s and the early 1990s is modelled as a cointegrated vector autoregression subject to regime ...
Title:A modern reconsideration of the theory of Optimal Currency Areas
Author(s):CORSETTI, GiancarloDate:2008Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:What can be learnt from revisiting the Optimal Currency Areas (OCA) theory 50 years from its birth, in light of recent advances in open economy macro and monetary theory? This paper presents a stylized micro-founded model ...
Title:Money Demand Stability and Inflation Prediction in the Four Largest EMU Countries
Author(s):CARSTENSEN, Kai; HAGEN, Jan; HOSSFELD, Oliver; NEAVES, Abelardo SalazarDate:2009Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:In this paper, we analyze the money demand functions of the four largest EMU countries and of the four-country (EMU-4) aggregate. We identify reasonable and stable money demand relationships for Germany, France and Spain ...
Title:More Equal but Less Mobile?: Education Financing and Intergenerational Mobility in Italy and in the US
Author(s):ICHINO, Andrea; CHECCHI, Daniele; RUSTICHINI, AldoDate:1999Type of Publication:ArticleAbstract:A centralised and egalitarian school system reduces the cost of education for poor families, and so it should reduce income inequality and make intergenerational mobility easier. In this paper we provide evidence that ...