Fears and Hope in Numbers: Financial Data and the Writing of History

Abstract

This paper puts forward the methodological view that certain data produced by financial markets can be used without the need to look into how they were compiled. It argues that when trying to understand the causes of the Austrian Boden-Kredit Anstalt's collapse of September 1929, data from bank balance sheets are not a reliable source, whereas data such as bond yields and interest rate differentials help locate the origin of the financial crisis in the resignation of Austria's Chancellor Ignaz Seipel in April 1929.