The Continued Salience of Religious Voting in the United States, Germany, and Great Britain
Title: The Continued Salience of Religious Voting in the United States, Germany, and Great Britain
Author: RAYMOND, Christopher
Citation: Electoral Studies, 2011, 30, 1, 125-135, Special Symposium on Electoral Democracy in the European Union
Series/Number: [EUDO Public Opinion Observatory]
Conventional wisdom on party systems in advanced industrial democracies holds that modern electorates are dealigned and that social cleavages no longer structure party politics. Recent work on class cleavages has challenged this stylized fact. The analysis performed here extends this criticism to the religious-secular cleavage. Using path analysis and comparing the current electorates of the United States, Germany, and Great Britain with the early 1960s, this paper demonstrates that the religious-secular cleavage remains or has become a significant predictor of conservative vote choice. While the effects of the religious-secular cleavage on vote choice have become largely indirect, the total of the direct and indirect effects is substantial and equivalent to the effects of class and status.
Table of Contents:
1. Introduction 2. Weakening social cleavages 3. The continued salience of the religious cleavage 4. Data and methods 5. Analysis 6. Discussion Acknowledgements Appendix: Measurement of dependent variables Vote choice Party identification Left–right self
Publication based on research carried out in the framework of the European Union Democracy Observatory (EUDO) of the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University Institute.; The journal issue has been produced in the framework of the PIREDEU Project, one of the projects carried out by the EUDO Public Opinion Observatory.
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