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Browsing Working Papers by Subject "E32"
Now showing items 1-20 of 20
Title:An Empirical Study of Credit Shock Transmission in a Small Open Economy
Author(s):BEDOCK, Nathan; STEVANOVIC, DaliborDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:In this paper we identify and measure the effects of credit shocks in a small open economy. To incorporate information from a large number of economic and financial indicators we use the structural factor-augmented VARMA ...
Title:The Banking and Distribution Sectors in a Small Open Economy DSGE Model
Author(s):DEÁK, Szabolcs; FONTAGNE, Lionel; MAFFEZZOLI, Marco; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI RSCASAbstract:The recent crisis has emphasized the role of financial - macroeconomic interactions, and international trade in goods and services, in the transmission of the shocks. Both phenomena, closely related to the higher degree ...
Title:Self-fulfilling Beliefs and Bounded Bubbles in the U.S. Housing Market
Author(s):KASHIWAGI, MasanoriDate:2011-01-01Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:This paper provides an equilibrium framework to organize the following empirical observations on the
U.S. housing market from 1975 to 2007: (i) housing tenure and vacancies were approximately
constant, (ii) rents were ...
Title:The Role of Curvature in the Transformation Frontier for Measuring Technology Shocks
Author(s):MENNUNI, AlessandroDate:2010-10-28Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:In the usual version of the neoclassical growth model used to identify neutral (N-Shock) and investment shocks (I-Shock), a linear transformation frontier between consumption and investment goods is assumed. This paper ...
Title:Nested Models and Model Uncertainty
Author(s):KRIWOLUZKY, Alexander; STOLTENBERG, Christian A.Date:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:Uncertainty about the appropriate choice among nested models is a central concern for optimal policy when policy prescriptions from those models differ. The standard procedure is to specify a prior over the parameter space ...
Title:Monetary Policy and Mismeasured Inflation
Author(s):WEBER, HenningDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI RSCASAbstract:I examine the standard New Keynesian model augmented with product entry and
exit. The statistical agency in the model measures product entry with a delay. Consequently,
measured in
ation departs from true, utility-based ...
Title:The Volatility Costs of Procyclical Lending Standards: An Assessment Using a DSGE Model
Author(s):GRUSS, Bertrand; SGHERRI, SilviaDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The ongoing financial turmoil has triggered a lively debate on ways of containing systemic risk and lessening the likelihood of future boom-and-bust episodes in credit markets. Particularly, it has been argued that banking ...
Title:Can Stabilization Policies Be Efficient?
Author(s):SAIDI, AurélienDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper makes use of optimal control relaxed problems to prove the absence of optimal trajectory in continuous time models with social increasing returns to scale where indeterminacy occurs. Although an efficient optimal ...
Title:Regime Switching Interest Rates and Fluctuations in Emerging Markets
Author(s):GRUSS, Bertrand; MERTENS, KarelDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We estimate regime switching models for emerging market interest rates and embed the obtained nonlinear dynamics in a small open economy model with a financial friction. We show that the presence of an infrequent regime ...
Title:Nested Models and Model Uncertainty
Author(s):KRIWOLUZKY, Alexander; STOLTENBERG, Christian A.Date:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:Uncertainty about the appropriate choice among nested models is a central concern for optimal policy when policy prescriptions from those models differ. The standard procedure is to specify a prior over the parameter space ...
Title:The Aggregate Effects of Anticipated and Unanticipated U.S. Tax Policy Shocks: Theory and Empirical Evidence
Author(s):MERTENS, Karel; RAVN, Morten O.Date:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We provide empirical evidence on the effects of tax liability changes in the United States. We make a distinction between “surprise” and “anticipated” tax shocks. Surprise tax cuts give rise to a large boom in the economy. ...
Title:Deep Habits and the Dynamic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks
Author(s):RAVN, Morten O.; SCHMITT-GROHE, Stephanie; URIBE, Martin; UUSKULA, LennoDate:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper introduces deep habits into a sticky-price sticky-wage economy and asks whether the countercyclical markup movements induced by deep habits is helpful for accounting for the dynamic effects of monetary policy ...
Title:Some Business Cycle Consequences of Trade Agreements: Th e Case of the North American Free Trade Agreement
Author(s):BEJAN, MariaDate:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI RSCASAbstract:This paper investigates the effects of signing a trade agreement on the correlations of the business
cycle fluctuations of consumption, investment and output between two countries. We construct an
international business ...
Title:Empirical Evidence on Growth and Volatility
Author(s):STASTNY, Michael; ZAGLER, MartinDate:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI RSCASAbstract:This paper empirically investigates the relationship between long-run economic growth and output
volatility. There is an emerging theoretical literature on the topic which is inconclusive on the size and
direction of the ...
Title:Twin Deficits, Openness and the Business Cycle
Author(s):CORSETTI, Giancarlo; MÜLLER, Gernot J.Date:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:In this paper, we study the co-movement of the government budget balance and the trade balance at business cycle frequencies. In a sample of 10 OECD countries we find that the correlation of the two time series is negative, ...
Title:Labor Market Dynamics and the Business Cycle: Structural Evidence for the United States
Author(s):RAVN, Morten O.; SIMONELLI, SaverioDate:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We use a 12-dimensional VAR to examine the dynamic effects on the labor market of four struc-
tural technology and policy shocks. For each shock, we examine the dynamic effects on the labor
market, the importance of the ...
Title:Sector-specific Markup Fluctuations and the Business Cycle
Author(s):GABLER, AlainDate:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The counter-cyclicality in the relative price of equipment investment
which is observed in the U.S. has been attributed to equipment-specific pro-
ductivity shocks. Cross-country evidence indicates that a number of ...
Title:S-Curve Redux: On the International Transmission of Technology Shocks
Author(s):ENDERS, Zeno; MÜLLER, Gernot J.Date:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:Using vector autoregressions on U.S. time series, we find that technology shocks induce an ‘S’-
shaped cross-correlation function for the trade balance and the terms of trade (S-curve). In calibrating
a prototypical ...
Title:Strategic Wage Bargaining, Labor Market Volatility and Persistence
Author(s):HERTWECK, Matthias S.Date:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper modifies the standard Mortensen-Pissarides job matching model in order
to explain the cyclical behavior of vacancies and unemployment. The modifications include
strategic wage bargaining (Hall and Milgrom, ...
Title:Business Cycle Analysis and VARMA Models
Author(s):KASCHA, Christian; MERTENS, KarlDate:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:An important question in empirical macroeconomics is whether
structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) can reliably discriminate
between competing DSGE models. Several recent papers have sug-
gested that one reason SVARs ...