Search
Now showing items 1-10 of 16
Title:Exchange Rates and Fundamentals: Co-movement, long-run relationships and short-run dynamics Author(s):BEKIROS, Stelios D.
Date:2011Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2011/21Abstract:The present study builds upon the seminal work of Engel and West [2005, Journal of Political Economy 113, 485-517] and in particular on the relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals. The paper discusses the ...
Date:2011Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2011/21Abstract:The present study builds upon the seminal work of Engel and West [2005, Journal of Political Economy 113, 485-517] and in particular on the relationship between exchange rates and fundamentals. The paper discusses the ...
Title:Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Large Bayesian VARs Author(s):CARRIERO, Andrea; KAPETANIOS, George; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2010Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2010/17Abstract:We propose a new approach to forecasting the term structure of interest rates, which allows to efficiently extract the information contained in a large panel of yields. In particular, we use a large Bayesian Vector ...
Date:2010Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2010/17Abstract:We propose a new approach to forecasting the term structure of interest rates, which allows to efficiently extract the information contained in a large panel of yields. In particular, we use a large Bayesian Vector ...
Title:Forecasting Large Datasets with Bayesian Reduced Rank Multivariate Models Author(s):CARRIERO, Andrea; KAPETANIOS, George; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2009Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2009/31Abstract:The paper addresses the issue of forecasting a large set of variables using multivariate models. In particular, we propose three alternative reduced rank forecasting models and compare their predictive performance for US ...
Date:2009Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2009/31Abstract:The paper addresses the issue of forecasting a large set of variables using multivariate models. In particular, we propose three alternative reduced rank forecasting models and compare their predictive performance for US ...
Title:MIDAS vs. Mixed-frequency VAR: Nowcasting GDP in the Euro Area Author(s):KUZIN, Vladimir; MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; SCHUMACHER, ChristianDate:2009Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2009/32Abstract:This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-
VAR) approaches to model speci cation in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g.,
monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious ...
; SCHUMACHER, ChristianDate:2009Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2009/32Abstract:This paper compares the mixed-data sampling (MIDAS) and mixed-frequency VAR (MF-
VAR) approaches to model speci cation in the presence of mixed-frequency data, e.g.,
monthly and quarterly series. MIDAS leads to parsimonious ...
Title:A survey of econometric methods for mixed-frequency data Author(s):FORONI, Claudia; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2013Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2013/02Abstract:The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including ...
Date:2013Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2013/02Abstract:The development of models for variables sampled at different frequencies has attracted substantial interest in the recent econometric literature. In this paper we provide an overview of the most common techniques, including ...
Title:Common Drifting Volatility in Large Bayesian VARs Author(s):CARRIERO, Andrea; CLARK, Todd E.; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2012Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2012/08Abstract:The estimation of large Vector Autoregressions with stochastic volatility using standard methods is computationally very demanding. In this paper we propose to model conditional volatilities as driven by a single common ...
Date:2012Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2012/08Abstract:The estimation of large Vector Autoregressions with stochastic volatility using standard methods is computationally very demanding. In this paper we propose to model conditional volatilities as driven by a single common ...
Title:Markov-Switching MIDAS Models Author(s):GUERIN, Pierre; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2011Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2011/03Abstract:This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of ...
Date:2011Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2011/03Abstract:This paper introduces a new regression model - Markov-switching mixed data sampling (MS-MIDAS) - that incorporates regime changes in the parameters of the mixed data sampling (MIDAS) models and allows for the use of ...
Title:Empirical Simultaneous Confidence Regions for Path-Forecasts Author(s):JORDÀ, Òscar; KNÜPPEL, Malte; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2010Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2010/18Abstract:Measuring and displaying uncertainty around path-forecasts, i.e. forecasts made in period T about the expected trajectory of a random variable in periods T+1 to T+H is a key ingredient for decision making under uncertainty. ...
Date:2010Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2010/18Abstract:Measuring and displaying uncertainty around path-forecasts, i.e. forecasts made in period T about the expected trajectory of a random variable in periods T+1 to T+H is a key ingredient for decision making under uncertainty. ...