Title:Factor Forecasts for the UK
Author(s):ARTIS, Michael J.; BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2001Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECO
Title:Factor Forecasts for the UK
Author(s):ARTIS, Michael J.; BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2002Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:CEPR Discussion PaperAbstract:Time series models are often adopted for forecasting because of their simplicity and good performance. The number of parameters in these models increases quickly with the number of variables modelled, so that usually only ...
Title:Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper brings together several important strands of the econometrics literature: errorcorrection,
cointegration and dynamic factor models. It introduces the Factor-augmented Error
Correction Model (FECM), where the ...
Title:Factor-MIDAS for Now- and Forecasting with Ragged-Edge Data: A Model Comparison for German GDP
Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; SCHUMACHER, ChristianDate:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper compares different ways to estimate the current state of the economy using factor
models that can handle unbalanced datasets. Due to the different release lags of business cycle
indicators, data unbalancedness ...
Title:Fair Divisions as Attracting Nash Equilibria of Simple Games
Author(s):GALBIATI, MarcoDate:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We consider the problem of allocating a finite number of divisible homogeneous
goods to N ≥ 2 individuals, in a way which is both envy-free
and Pareto optimal. Building on Thomson (2005 Games and Economic
Behavior), a ...
Title:Family Firms and the Agency Cost of Debt: The role of soft information during a crisis
Author(s):D’AURIZIO, Leandro; OLIVIERO, Tommaso; ROMANO, LivioDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:In this paper we study how access to bank lending during the recent financial crisis differed between family and non-family firms. Our theoretical prediction is that the presence of a family block-holder in the company ...
Title:Family Firms and the Great Recession: Out of Sight, Out of Mind?
Author(s):D’AURIZIO, Leandro; ROMANO, LivioDate:2011-01-01Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The purpose of this paper is to study how family firms, compared to widely-held companies, reacted to the 2008 economic crisis in terms of employment adjustments. By using a difference-in-difference approach, we provide ...
Title:Fertility and Divorce
Author(s):VURI, DanielaDate:2001Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECO
Title:Financial Connections and Systemic Risk
Author(s):ALLEN, Franklin; BABUS, Ana; CARLETTI, ElenaDate:2010Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:An important source of systemic risk is overlapping portfolio exposures among financial institutions. We develop a model where institutions form connections through swaps of projects in order to diversify their individual ...
Title:Financial Connections and Systemic Risk
Author(s):ALLEN, Franklin; BABUS, Ana; CARLETTI, ElenaDate:2010Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We develop a model where institutions form connections through swaps of projects
in order to diversify their individual risk. These connections lead to two different network
structures. In a clustered network groups of ...
Title:Financial Crises and International Trade: The Long Way to Recovery
Author(s):BERMAN, NicolasDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:Standard theoretical models would predict that a currency depreciation generates an increase in net exports. However, recent emerging market crises, accompanied by sharp exchange rate devaluations, have often been followed ...
Title:Financial Crisis Resolution
Author(s):SCHROTH, JosefDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:This paper studies a dynamic version of the Holmstrom-Tirole model of intermediated finance. I show that competitive equilibria are not constrained efficient when the economy experiences a financial crises. A pecuniary ...
Title:Financial Intermediation, Markets, and Alternative Financial Sectors
Author(s):ALLEN, Franklin; CARLETTI, Elena; QIAN, Jun 'QJ'; VALENZUELA, PatricioDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We provide a comprehensive review of firms’ financing channels (internal and external, domestic and international) around the globe, with the focus on alternative finance—financing from all the nonmarket, non-bank external ...
Title:Financial Literacy and Portfolio Diversification
Author(s):GUISO, Luigi; JAPPELLI, TullioDate:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:In this paper we focus on poor financial literacy as one potential factor explaining lack of portfolio diversification. We use the 2007 Unicredit Customers’ Survey, which has indicators of portfolio choice, financial ...
Title:Financial Markets as a Commitment Device for the Government
Author(s):SIMON, JennyDate:2012Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:How does the presence of financial markets shape the government's ability to implement social redistribution? Individuals do not typically constrain consumption to equal their net-of-tax income every period. Instead, access ...