Title:Forecasting with Factor-augmented Error Correction Models
Author(s):MASTEN, Igor; BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI RSCASAbstract:As a generalization of the factor-augmented VAR (FAVAR) and of the Error Correction Model (ECM), Banerjee and Marcellino (2009) introduced the Factor-augmented Error Correction Model (FECM). The FECM combines error-correction, ...
Title:Factor-Augmented Error Correction Models
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:This paper brings together several important strands of the econometrics literature: errorcorrection,
cointegration and dynamic factor models. It introduces the Factor-augmented Error
Correction Model (FECM), where the ...
Title:Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Diffusion Indexes in Short Samples with Structural Change
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; MASTEN, IgorDate:2008Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:We conduct a detailed simulation study of the forecasting performance of
diffusion index-based methods in short samples with structural change. We
consider several data generation processes, to mimic different types ...
Title:Cointegration in Panel Data with Breaks and Cross-Section Dependence
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; CARRION-I-SILVESTRE, Josep LluisDate:2006Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECOAbstract:The power of standard panel cointegration statistics may be affected by misspecification errors if
proper account is not taken of the presence of structural breaks in the data. We propose modifications
to allow for one ...
Title:Leading Indicators for Euro Area Inflation and GDP Growth
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, Massimiliano; MASTEN, IgorDate:2003Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:CEPR discussion paperAbstract:In this Paper we evaluate the role of a set of variables as leading indicators for Euro-area inflation and GDP growth. Our evaluation is based on using the variables in the ECB euro area model database, plus a set of similar ...
Title:A New Look at the Feldstein-Horioka Puzzle using an Integrated Panel
Author(s):BANERJEE, Anindya; ZANGHIERI, PaoloDate:2003Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:CEPII discussion paperAbstract:We use a panel of 14 European countries to take a fresh look at the so-called Feldstein-Horioka puzzle on the high correlations between savings and investment observed within countries. A large literature has emerged to ...
Title:Factor Forecasts for the UK
Author(s):ARTIS, Michael J.; BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2002Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:CEPR Discussion PaperAbstract:Time series models are often adopted for forecasting because of their simplicity and good performance. The number of parameters in these models increases quickly with the number of variables modelled, so that usually only ...
Title:Factor Forecasts for the UK
Author(s):ARTIS, Michael J.; BANERJEE, Anindya; MARCELLINO, MassimilianoDate:2001Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI ECO