Håndhevelse og legitimitet : en integrativ vurdering av Parisavtalens effektivitet

Abstract

This article discusses which criteria are relevant for measuring the effectiveness of climate agreements, and evaluates the Paris Agreement in light of these. The approach is both deductive and inductive, in the sense that the article discusses both what existing theory can tell us about the effectiveness of the Agreement, but also how the Agreement can be used as basis for expanding existing theoretical approaches for evaluating the effectiveness of climate agreements. In contrast to much that so far has been said about the prospects of the Paris Agreement, this article argues that the outlook for the effectiveness of the Agreement is currently positive. There are mainly three reasons for this. Firstly, the Agreement enjoys broad support and participation. Secondly, the Agreement is relatively ambitious. Thirdly, the Agreement sends firm signals about universality, changed economic incentives and the importance of nonstate actors, which can contribute to facilitation of its implementation burden.