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dc.contributor.authorMORISI, Davide
dc.date.accessioned2019-03-01T14:53:52Z
dc.date.available2019-03-01T14:53:52Z
dc.date.issued2016
dc.identifier.citationJournal of elections public opinion and parties, 2016, Vol. 26, No. 3, pp. 354-372
dc.identifier.issn1745-7289
dc.identifier.issn1745-7297en
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1814/61517
dc.description.abstractDespite extensive research on campaign effects, the issue of whether information can actually influence vote choice in a campaign remains debatable. This study provides novel evidence of how issue-based arguments influenced voting preferences in the campaign for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum. The findings, based on a lab experiment and a follow-up survey with the experimental subjects, show that provision of information lead to a one-sided persuasion effect, by increasing the support for independence mainly through reduction of indecision. This effect occurred regardless of the possibility to select the arguments and found further confirmation in the actual increase of Yes votes in the referendum. Additional analyses reveal that personal economic expectations significantly moderated the effect of information, since the support for independence increased only among those who did not expect future economic gains. In line with prospect theory, these results suggest that risk-based calculations and economic perceptions prove important determinants of voting decisions, especially in a context of asymmetrical vote choice between an uncertain "Yes for a change" and a safe "No for the status quo".
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was supported by the European University Institute.
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis (Routledge)en
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of elections public opinion and parties
dc.subjectPolitical Communicationen
dc.subjectAttitude Polarizationen
dc.subjectBiased Assimilationen
dc.subjectChoiceen
dc.subjectRisken
dc.subjectCampaignsen
dc.subjectDecisionen
dc.subjectExposureen
dc.subjectQuebecen
dc.titleVoting under uncertainty : the effect of information in the Scottish independence referendum
dc.typeArticle
dc.identifier.doi10.1080/17457289.2016.1178648
dc.identifier.volume26
dc.identifier.startpage354
dc.identifier.endpage372
eui.subscribe.skiptrue
dc.identifier.issue3


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