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Browsing Max Weber Programme (MWP) by Subject "C22"
Now showing items 1-3 of 3
Title:Forecasting Annual Inflation with Seasonal Monthly Data: Using Levels versus Logs of the Underlying Price Index
Author(s):LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; XU, FangDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:This paper investigates whether using natural logarithms (logs) of price indices for forecasting
inflation rates is preferable to employing the original series. Univariate forecasts for annual inflation
rates for a number ...
Title:The Role of log Transformation in Forecasting Economic Variables
Author(s):LUETKEPOHL, Helmut; XU, FangDate:2009Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:For forecasting and economic analysis many variables are used in logarithms (logs). In time series
analysis this transformation is often considered to stabilize the variance of a series. We investigate
under which ...
Title:Sample Kurtosis, GARCH-t and the Degrees of Freedom Issue
Author(s):HERACLEOUS, Maria S.Date:2007Type of Publication:Working PaperSeries/Report no.:EUI MWPAbstract:Econometric modeling based on the Student's t distribution introduces an additional
parameter -- the degree of freedom. In this paper we use a simulation study to
investigate the ability of (i) the GARCH-t model (Bollerslev, ...