dc.contributor.author | LANNE, Markku | |
dc.contributor.author | LUETKEPOHL, Helmut | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2008-09-02T07:56:37Z | |
dc.date.available | 2008-09-02T07:56:37Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2008 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 1725-6704 | |
dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/1814/9233 | |
dc.description.abstract | The role of expectations for economic fluctuations has received
considerable attention in recent business cycle analysis. We exploit Markov
regime switching models to identify shocks in cointegrated structural vector autoregressions and investigate different identification schemes for bi-
variate systems comprising U.S. stock prices and total factor productivity.
The former variable is viewed as reflecting expectations of economic agents
about future productivity. It is found that some previously used identification schemes can be rejected in our model setup. The results crucially
depend on the measure used for total factor productivity. | en |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | |
dc.language.iso | en | en |
dc.publisher | European University Institute | |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | EUI ECO | en |
dc.relation.ispartofseries | 2008/29 | en |
dc.rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess | |
dc.subject | Cointegration | en |
dc.subject | Markov regime switching model | en |
dc.subject | vector error correction model | en |
dc.subject | structural vector autoregression | en |
dc.subject | mixed normal distribution | en |
dc.subject | C32 | en |
dc.title | Stock Prices and Economic Fluctuations: A Markov Switching Structural Vector Autoregressive Analysis | en |
dc.type | Working Paper | en |
dc.neeo.contributor | LANNE|Markku|aut| | |
dc.neeo.contributor | LUETKEPOHL|Helmut|aut|EUI70007 | |
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