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Title:Forecasting Exchange Rates with a Large Bayesian VAR Author(s):CARRIERO, Andrea; KAPETANIOS, George; MARCELLINO, Massimiliano
Date:2008Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2008/33Abstract:Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate driftless random walk models, especially at short horizons. Multivariate time series models suffer from the ...
Date:2008Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2008/33Abstract:Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate driftless random walk models, especially at short horizons. Multivariate time series models suffer from the ...