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Title:Campaign Effects and Second-Order Cycles - A Top-Down Approach to European Parliament Elections Author(s):WEBER, TillDate:2007Citation: European Union Politics, 2007, 8, 4, 509-536 Type:ArticleAbstract:. Based on survey data from the European Election Studies of 1999 and 2004, first-order campaign mobilization is shown to determine the prospects of government parties in second-order elections. Mobilization itself depends ...