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Employment uncertainty and fertility intentions : stability or resilience?
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0032-4728; 1477-4747
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Population studies, 2022, Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 387-406
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GATTA, Arianna, MATTIOLI, Francesco, MENCARINI, Letizia, VIGNOLI, Daniele, Employment uncertainty and fertility intentions : stability or resilience?, Population studies, 2022, Vol. 76, No. 3, pp. 387-406 - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/77545
Abstract
The role of employment uncertainty as a fertility driver has previously been studied with a limited set of constructs, leading to inconclusive results. We address this oversight by considering perceived stability of employment and perceived resilience to potential job loss as two key dimensions of employment uncertainty in relation to fertility decision-making. The present study relies on the 2017 Italian Trustlab survey and its employment uncertainty module. We find that perception of resilience to job loss is a powerful predictor of fertility intentions, whereas perception of employment stability has only a limited impact. The observed relationship between resilience and fertility intentions is robust to the inclusion of person-specific risk attitude and does not depend on the unemployment rate or the share of fixed-term contracts in the area of residence. We conclude that the notion of employment uncertainty includes distinct expectations towards the future, which should be considered separately to understand fertility decision-making.
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Published online: 01 September 2021
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European Commission, 694145
European Commission, 725961
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This research was supported by the IFAMID: 'Institutional Family Demography' project financed by the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under ERC grant agreement (694145) and by the EU-FER:'Economic Uncertainty and Fertility in Europe' project financed by the ERC grant agreement (725961).