Policy Mix and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Fiscal Policy Rules
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Empirica, 2006, 33, 2/3, 89-112
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CLAEYS, Peter Gunther Antoon, Policy Mix and Debt Sustainability: Evidence from Fiscal Policy Rules, Empirica, 2006, 33, 2/3, 89-112 - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/6304
Abstract
This paper characterizes rules-based fiscal policy setting for G-3 and large
EMS countries. We set up a simple fiscal policy rule and then infer on the policymakers’
reaction coefficients by testing with GMM. Our results qualify existing
evidence on systematic fiscal policy in two respects. First, fiscal policy usually stabilizes
public debt; and there is indeed substantial interaction between fiscal and
monetary policies via the policy mix or the debt channel. Second, sustainability is
achieved with a ‘‘stop–go’’ cycle of consolidation. Unless debt ratios are high,
consolidation does not come at the cost of less cyclical stabilization

