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How do established voters react to new parties? : the case of Italy, 1985-2008

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0261-3794; 1873-6890
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Electoral studies, 2012, Vol. 31, No. 2, pp. 297-305
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FRANKLIN, Mark N., VAN SPANJE, Joost, How do established voters react to new parties? : the case of Italy, 1985-2008, Electoral studies, 2012, Vol. 31, No. 2, pp. 297-305 - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/33958
Abstract
The Italian party system largely collapsed in the early 1990s, providing us with a natural experimental situation in which voters were confronted with new parties - indeed, with an entirely new party system. How did they react? This paper develops a number of expectations on the basis of existing theory and tests these expectations using a dataset consisting of election studies conducted in Italy between 1985 and 2008. We find that a new party system causes confusion as to where parties stand in left-right terms, making it difficult for voters to make their choices on the basis of ideological cues. The confusion is greatest among older voters - those already set in their habits of voting, but only the very oldest cohorts (containing voters over 60 years old) are significantly debilitated. (C) 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd.
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