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The case for multiple UESDs and an application to migrant deaths in the Mediterranean Sea
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2049-8470; 2049-8489
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Political science research and methods, 2025, OnlineFirst
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FRESE, Joris, The case for multiple UESDs and an application to migrant deaths in the Mediterranean Sea, Political science research and methods, 2025, OnlineFirst - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/78258
Abstract
Many recent applications of the “Unexpected Event during Survey Design” (UESD) analyze single cases of frequently occurring events. In this research note, I question the generalizability of research findings obtained this way and demonstrate the empirical benefits of the “Multiple Unexpected Events during Survey Design” (MUESD). I conduct 15 large-scale replications (total N = 101,940) of a new UESD analyzing the effects of Mediterranean shipwrecks on immigration attitudes. Previous research suggests that such events drastically reduce anti-immigration attitudes among the European public, presumably through an empathy-based mechanism. However, after 15 of the most lethal shipwrecks since 2013, anti-immigration attitudes were reduced in only one case of exceptionally high salience and to a much lesser degree than originally found.
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Published online: 20 March 2025
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This article was published Open Access with the support from the EUI Library through the CRUI - CUP Transformative Agreement (2023-2025)