Waking up the Golden Dawn : does exposure to the refugee crisis increase support for extreme-right parties?

dc.contributor.authorDINAS, Elias
dc.contributor.authorMATAKOS, Konstantinos
dc.contributor.authorXEFTERIS, Dimitrios
dc.contributor.authorHANGARTNER, Dominik
dc.date.accessioned2019-03-20T10:01:46Z
dc.date.available2019-03-20T10:01:46Z
dc.date.issued2019
dc.descriptionPublished online: 31 January 2019en
dc.description.abstractDoes exposure to the refugee crisis fuel support for extreme-right parties? Despite heated debates about the political repercussions of the refugee crisis in Europe, there exists very little—and sometimes conflicting—evidence with which to assess the impact of a large influx of refugees on natives’ political attitudes and behavior. We provide causal evidence from a natural experiment in Greece, where some Aegean islands close to the Turkish border experienced sudden and drastic increases in the number of Syrian refugees while other islands slightly farther away—but with otherwise similar institutional and socioeconomic characteristics—did not. Placebo tests suggest that precrisis trends in vote shares for exposed and nonexposed islands were virtually identical. This allows us to obtain unbiased estimates of the electoral consequences of the refugee crisis. Our study shows that among islands that faced a massive but transient inflow of refugees passing through just before the September 2015 election, vote shares for Golden Dawn, the most extreme-right party in Europe, moderately increased by 2 percentage points (a 44 percent increase at the average). The finding that mere exposure to the refugee crisis is sufficient to fuel support for extreme-right parties has important implications for our theoretical understanding of the drivers of antirefugee backlash.en
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfen
dc.identifier.citationPolitical analysis, 2019, Vol. 27, No. 2 , pp. 244-254en
dc.identifier.doi10.1017/pan.2018.48
dc.identifier.endpage254
dc.identifier.issn1047-1987
dc.identifier.issn1476-4989
dc.identifier.issue2
dc.identifier.startpage244
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/1814/61887
dc.identifier.volume27
dc.language.isoenen
dc.orcid.uploadtrue*
dc.publisherCambridge University Pressen
dc.relation.ispartofPolitical analysisen
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen
dc.rights.licenseCreative Commons CC BY-NC-SA 4.0
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/
dc.titleWaking up the Golden Dawn : does exposure to the refugee crisis increase support for extreme-right parties?en
dc.typeArticleen
dspace.entity.typePublication
eui.subscribe.skiptrue
person.identifier.orcid0000-0003-2153-6077
person.identifier.other31601
relation.isAuthorOfPublication86d19cef-2608-401c-9c96-f14d07e8a60d
relation.isAuthorOfPublication.latestForDiscovery86d19cef-2608-401c-9c96-f14d07e8a60d
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