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Violence and regional order in the Middle East since October 7
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Raffaella A. DEL SARTO, Marc LYNCH and Simon MABON (eds), Regional order making after October 7, Washington : Project on Middle East Political Science, 2025, POMEPS studies ; 56, pp. 17-23
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DEL SARTO, Raffaella A., Violence and regional order in the Middle East since October 7, in Raffaella A. DEL SARTO, Marc LYNCH and Simon MABON (eds), Regional order making after October 7, Washington : Project on Middle East Political Science, 2025, POMEPS studies ; 56, pp. 17-23 - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/93686
Abstract
The starting point of my contribution (co-authored with Helle Malmvig and Eduard Soler i Lecha) to Order and Region Making in the Middle East is two essential questions. First, what is an order? Second, how and why do orders change? As political and social orders are always in flux, thereby featuring elements of both continuity and change, what allows us to define an order as substantially new? Our contribution introduces the analytical distinction between change of order and change within order. Written well before the events of October 7, 2023 in Israel/Palestine, our chapter shows that the revolutionary forces unleashed by the Arab uprisings could have changed the regional order profoundly. The same can be said about the normalization of relations between Israel and the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan of 2020: Israel’s potential integration into a regional security architecture could have led to the emergence of a very different Middle East. We also identified the growing distance of many regional actors from their traditional ‘Western’ allies, together with the diversification and ‘liquidity’ of alliances, as significant features of the region after the Arab uprisings. However, the existing order proved far more resilient than anticipated. We therefore concluded that the transformations that resulted from the Arab uprisings qualify as a change within order and not a change of the order.
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July 2025