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The impact of the economic crisis on migrations flows between Italy and North Africa

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[Migration Policy Centre]; [CARIM-South]; CARIM Analytic and Synthetic Notes; 2009/36; Series on the Impact of the Economic Crisis on South and East Mediterranean Migration
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AMBROSETTI, Elena, The impact of the economic crisis on migrations flows between Italy and North Africa, [Migration Policy Centre], [CARIM-South], CARIM Analytic and Synthetic Notes, 2009/36, Series on the Impact of the Economic Crisis on South and East Mediterranean Migration - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/12991
Abstract
Understanding the impact of the current economic crisis on migration flows is not a trivial issue due to the interplay of several determinants. So far, there is little statistical evidence on the nature and magnitude of this impact and only hypotheses and scenarios can be advanced. This paper aims to fill this gap by trying to assess the effects of the crisis on migration flows between North African countries and Italy. By using up-to-date empirical data and statistics, we find evidence of a twofold trend during 2008: 1) labour migration flows have slightly decreased; 2) undocumented migration has instead increased. Beyond economic factors, several explanations are provided to describe these dynamics. Finally, policy implications and potential solutions are discussed, by focusing in particular on the role of circular migrations. La compréhension de l'impact de la crise économique actuelle sur les évolutions récentes des flux migratoires n'est pas une question facile à traiter en raison de l'interaction de plusieurs facteurs. Il y a encore très peu de statistiques sur le phénomène et l’on ne peut qu’avancer des hypothèses et des scénarios. Cette étude, se propose de détecter les effets de la crise sur les flux migratoires entre l'Afrique du Nord et l’Italie. A partir de données récentes, l’article dégage deux tendances contrastées au cours de l'année 2008: 1) les migrations de travail ont diminué légèrement ; 2) les migrations illégales ont augmenté. Mis à part les facteurs économiques, plusieurs explications sont fournies pour expliquer ces tendances. En outre, les implications politiques et des solutions possibles sont analysées en se concentrant en particulier sur le rôle des migrations circulaires.
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Euro-Mediterranean Consortium for Applied Research on International Migration (CARIM)
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