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Title:The Reliability of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano
; MUSSO, AlbertoDate:2010Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2010/06Abstract:This paper provides evidence on the reliability of euro area real-time output gap estimates, including those provided by the IMF, OECD and EC and a set of model based measures. A genuine real-time data set is used, including ...

Title:The Forecasting Performance of Real Time Estimates of the EURO Area Output Gap Author(s):MARCELLINO, Massimiliano
; MUSSO, AlbertoDate:2010Type:Working PaperSeries/Number:EUI ECO; 2010/15Abstract:This paper provides real time evidence on the usefulness of the euro area output gap as a leading indicator for inflation and growth. A genuine real-time data set for the euro area is used, including vintages of several ...
