Date: 2017
Type: Article
Eliciting survival expectations of the elderly in low-income countries : evidence from India
Demography, 2017, Vol. 54, No. 2, pp. 673-699
DELAVANDE, Adeline, LEE, Jinkook, MENON, Seetha, Eliciting survival expectations of the elderly in low-income countries : evidence from India, Demography, 2017, Vol. 54, No. 2, pp. 673-699
- https://hdl.handle.net/1814/45752
Retrieved from Cadmus, EUI Research Repository
We examine several methodological considerations when eliciting probabilistic expectations in a developing country context using the Longitudinal Ageing Study in India (LASI). We conclude that although, on average, individuals are able to understand the concept of probability, responses are sensitive to framing effects and to own versus hypothetical-person effects. We find that overall, people are pessimistic about their survival probabilities compared with state-specific life tables and that socioeconomic status does influence beliefs about own survival expectations as found in previous literature in other countries. Higher levels of education and income have a positive association with survival expectations, and these associations persist even when conditioning on self-reported health. The results remain robust to several alternative specifications. We then compare the survival measures with objective measures of health. We find that activities of daily life, height, and low hemoglobin levels covary with subjective expectations in expected directions.
Additional information:
First published online : 09 March 2017
Cadmus permanent link: https://hdl.handle.net/1814/45752
Full-text via DOI: 10.1007/s13524-017-0560-8
ISSN: 0070-3370; 1533-7790
Publisher: Springer
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