Fiscal multipliers in the 21st century
Journal of monetary economics, 2016, Vol. 77, pp. 53-69
BRINCA, Pedro, HOLTER, Hans A., KRUSELL, Per, MALAFRY, Laurence, Fiscal multipliers in the 21st century, Journal of monetary economics, 2016, Vol. 77, pp. 53-69 - https://hdl.handle.net/1814/61510
Retrieved from Cadmus, EUI Research Repository
Fiscal multipliers appear to vary greatly over time and space. Based on VARs for a large number of countries, we document a strong correlation between wealth inequality and the magnitude of fiscal multipliers. In an attempt to account for this finding, we develop a life-cycle, overlapping-generations economy with uninsurable labor market risk. We calibrate our model to match key characteristics of a number of OECD economies, including the distribution of wages and wealth, social security, taxes, and government debt and study how a fiscal multiplier depends on various country characteristics. We find that the fiscal multiplier is highly sensitive to the fraction of the population who face binding credit constraints and also to the average wealth level in the economy. These findings together help us generate a cross-country pattern of multipliers that is quite similar to that in the data. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Cadmus permanent link: https://hdl.handle.net/1814/61510
Full-text via DOI: 10.1016/j.jmoneco.2015.09.005
ISSN: 0304-3932; 1873-1295
Keyword(s): Fiscal multipliers Wealth inequality Government spending Taxation Policy Tax Taxation Growth Model
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