Date: 2021
Type: Article
Fueling factionalism? : the impact of peace processes on rebel group fragmentation in civil wars
Journal of conflict resolution, 2021, Vol. 65, No. 4, pp. 788-812
DUURSMA, Allard, FLIERVOET, Feike Elizabeth Maria, Fueling factionalism? : the impact of peace processes on rebel group fragmentation in civil wars, Journal of conflict resolution, 2021, Vol. 65, No. 4, pp. 788-812
- https://hdl.handle.net/1814/70051
Retrieved from Cadmus, EUI Research Repository
While peace processes increase the likelihood that a civil war is resolved, they can also complicate peace by increasing the risk of rebel fragmentation. In this article, we argue that negotiations exacerbate pre-existing structural and substantial divisions within rebel organizations, therefore increasing the likelihood of a rebel split. More specifically, we put forward a theoretical framework that specifies why factions within a rebel group may disagree with the onset of negotiations, the conclusion of a peace agreement, or the implementation of an agreement-and thus break away during the peace process. We empirically assess the merit of this framework by systematically comparing the impact of these phases in a peace process on the fragmentation of rebel organizations. Using data that more accurately reflect the moment a rebel split takes place than earlier studies, we find that peace processes have a greater substantial impact on rebel fragmentation than previously assumed.
Additional information:
First published online: 14 September 2020
Cadmus permanent link: https://hdl.handle.net/1814/70051
Full-text via DOI: 10.1177/0022002720958062
ISSN: 0022-0027; 1552-8766
Publisher: Sage Publications
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