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dc.contributor.authorKROTZ, Ulrich
dc.contributor.authorSCHILD, Joachim
dc.identifier.citationJournal of European public policy, 2018, Vol. 25, No. 8, pp. 1174-1193en
dc.descriptionPublished online: 06 May 2018en
dc.description.abstractWhat are the consequences and implications of Brexit on the nature and character of Franco-German ‘embedded bilateralism’ in Europe, the relative influence of Berlin and Paris in EU policymaking, and the EU's future trajectory more generally? Brexit brings into sharper relief three basic future scenarios for the EU: (1) German hegemony; (2) the decline of the European project; and (3) a rejuvenated Franco-German tandem at the union's centre – what we call ‘back to the future’. Which of these scenarios prevails will depend on the interaction of Brexit with other developments, most notably (1) the overall strengthening of Germany's relative standing, and (2) France's ability to overcome its economic and societal stasis with serious reforms. Though each of the three scenarios is possible, this paper holds that ‘back to the future’ is the most likely and plausible. Brexit thus might even further accentuate the historically influential Franco-German relationship, not least in union-level policy domains, such as security and defense, in which Britain has hitherto played a significant role.en
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis (Routledge)en
dc.relation.ispartofJournal of European public policyen
dc.relation.ispartofseries[Global Governance Programme]en
dc.relation.ispartofseries[Europe in the World]en
dc.subject.otherInternational relations
dc.subject.otherEuropean governance
dc.subject.otherInstitutions and policy-making
dc.titleBack to the future? : Franco-German bilateralism in Europe's post-Brexit Unionen

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